Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.839260 2.209041 2.624913 3.125899 3.711609 4.373207 5.175577
2025-12-28 1.376041 1.863269 2.470837 3.278322 4.316758 5.600022 7.297646
2026-01-04 1.067291 1.597847 2.318439 3.355653 4.794682 6.702419 9.400685
2026-01-11 0.879681 1.435240 2.246428 3.494394 5.337169 7.923128 11.781464
2026-01-18 0.712418 1.257729 2.108069 3.496669 5.663303 8.858610 13.851549
2026-01-25 0.563022 1.071691 1.915788 3.373174 5.765805 9.458125 15.473854
2026-02-01 0.449066 0.918204 1.743693 3.244891 5.827697 9.981813 17.010541
2026-02-08 0.378294 0.825762 1.656057 3.237911 6.075033 10.807199 19.082381
2026-02-15 0.323120 0.750636 1.584718 3.244496 6.338356 11.674234 21.290386
2026-02-22 0.272966 0.674386 1.497063 3.204905 6.508803 12.392067 23.302450
2026-03-01 0.220282 0.580526 1.357610 3.042732 6.428777 12.657076 24.545302
2026-03-08 0.187605 0.524510 1.285846 3.002924 6.572040 13.328476 26.556648
2026-03-15 0.161142 0.478167 1.228674 2.988508 6.770418 14.133554 28.909950
2026-03-22 0.150953 0.471009 1.258783 3.166730 7.381224 15.777755 32.971059
2026-03-29 0.136183 0.448129 1.248033 3.251893 7.806261 17.098037 36.522389
2026-04-05 0.125943 0.435478 1.259851 3.390075 8.359306 18.718528 40.783419
2026-04-12 0.110509 0.403658 1.217599 3.393323 8.614036 19.753807 43.963211
2026-04-19 0.092264 0.358087 1.130676 3.273444 8.574467 20.172231 45.925312
2026-04-26 0.076787 0.316848 1.047262 3.148689 8.506450 20.519705 47.762013
2026-05-03 0.067472 0.293930 1.011231 3.141925 8.717885 21.487554 50.971853
2026-05-10 0.059760 0.274504 0.981771 3.148343 8.961640 22.545863 54.452317
2026-05-17 0.051898 0.252042 0.938592 3.109815 9.087352 23.346681 57.428853
2026-05-24 0.042486 0.220082 0.858441 2.952002 8.886149 23.375217 58.692213